The Standing Wave

The forces building in AI, and where they land.

A weekly read on the AI build-out, held against durable hypotheses.

This week

Every Tuesday we publish The Signal — a read on the AI build-out, led by the one development that mattered most. The Insight and Headline Call land in your inbox; the full issue lives on the site.

New here? Why hypotheses? → explains the method — start there if you want the discipline before the weekly read.

Four layers, fourteen questions

Every hypothesis sits in one of four layers of the build-out — from capital and compute at the base to where AI meets the market. The layers are the spine: follow one thread across every issue.

Compute & Capex
The money and the silicon: data-centre spend and the cost of compute.
Physical Layer
Power, land, the grid, and even space: where AI pushes physical limits.
Frontier Capability
How fast models advance, and the economics that separate the leaders.
Application & Deployment
Where AI lands: enterprise adoption, consumer integration, and a new wave of lean software.

Fourteen active hypotheses across these layers — each with a dated horizon and a countable trigger, not a vibe. See the full set → Why this discipline? →

Where to start
Start with this week's Signal Signal № 009 Why hypotheses? The method

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